[Aim] This research on the adaptability of Lisorhoptrus oryzophilus Kuschel in the desert oasis rice region of Xinjiang was conducted to provide scientific guidance for the prevention and control of serious non-indigenous pests.[Method] Based on the information of 19 environmental factors and 64 latest geographical distribution points of the rice water weevils in Xinjiang and other provinces, the MaxEnt model and ArcGIS 10.2 software were used to analyze and predict the potential distribution of rice water weevil in Xinjiang.[Result] The suitable areas of the rice water weevil in the desert oasis rice region of Xinjiang mainly include the northern slopes of the northern Tianshan Mountains and the Ili River Valley, as well as parts of the Aksu and Kezhou regions in southern Xinjiang. The non-suitable area accounted for 79.97% of the province, 7.34% were of low-suitability, 10.84% was predicted suitable, while the highly csuitable area was only 1.85%.[Conclusion]There is still a trend of continued spread and high risk of harm by the rice water weevil in Xinjiang. The main environmental factors affecting the potential spread are the annual average temperature (bio1), isothermality (bio3), average temperature during the wettest season (bio8), rainfall during the warmest season (bio18), and temperature maxima during the hottest months (bio5).